New energy vehicles refer to the use of unconventional vehicle fuels as a power source (or the use of conventional vehicle fuels, the use of new vehicle power units), integrated vehicle power control and drive technology, the formation of advanced technology, with New technology, new structure of the car.
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At present, China has surpassed the United States to take the top spot in the electric vehicle market. The domestic electric vehicle market ranks first in the world for two consecutive years of production and sales, with a total promotion of more than 1 million units, accounting for more than 50% of the global market. According to incomplete statistics, the planning of new energy vehicles by traditional auto companies is only a huge number. The sales targets of new energy vehicles released by nine independent auto companies such as GAC, Dongfeng, SAIC, BAIC, Changan, Geely and Chery are close to 2020. 4 million vehicles, the total investment is about 80 billion yuan, and in the passenger car field, the total investment of new energy vehicles of the three companies Yutong, Zhongtong and Jinlong exceeds 10 billion yuan, and the total capital of the new energy automobile industry is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan. .
After subsidies have retreated, new energy vehicle sales have slowed down this year, but car electrification is the trend of the times. Whether it is a national brand or a joint venture automaker, or even an Internet car manufacturer that uses electric power to open the auto market, it will not miss it. This cake inflated.
Subsidies fall back, market and technology become the biggest challenge
At present, almost all Internet car brands have chosen to use new energy vehicles as the gateway to open the market, which has undoubtedly played a very important role in cultivating the market and popularizing consumers' awareness of electric vehicles. Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the National Federation of the Federation, told reporters that in fact, many Internet car brands have made such choices. On the one hand, they are in line with the transformation of the automobile manufacturing industry. On the other hand, the manufacturing of electric vehicles is relatively low. have more advantages.
Some insiders also analyzed that after the policy subsidies have subsided, the market and technology have become the biggest challenges that electric vehicles need to break. Since the new energy vehicle ushered in the development of spurt, not only the old power lithium battery manufacturers CATL, Lishen, Boston and other investment expansion capacity, listed companies invest heavily in the construction of factories, but also no shortage of Volkswagen, Toyota, Beiqi and other automakers.
Cui Dongshu believes that due to the reduction in subsidies, the overall slowdown in sales of new energy vehicles in the first quarter and April of this year means that the demand for batteries has declined. This is also reflected in the report of the Real Li Research Institute. In the first quarter of 2017, the battery demand for EV passenger cars was only 102,100 kWh, which was as high as 85% compared with 676,800 kWh in the same period of 2016. The battery demand for EV special vehicles also dropped significantly. The demand for 60,000 kWh in the first quarter of 2017 was almost halved compared with 113,000 kWh in the same period of 2016. According to the report, these two markets are extremely sensitive to changes in subsidy policies. The reason is that the policy of 30,000 km cumulative mileage requirements shows the power.
Although the demand for pure electric buses in the “large electricity consumers†market has shrunk a lot, the demand for power lithium batteries is still growing at a high speed. The report of the Real Lithium Research Institute also mentioned that the production of “small-capacity†pure electric passenger cars and special-purpose vehicles will continue to maintain rapid growth. The market performance of EV passenger cars based on the personal market was significantly better, and the demand for 966,800 kWh of EV passenger cars in the first quarter of 2017 was 10 compared with 876,700 kWh in the same period of 2016. More than % is the only bright spot in all types of vehicle market.
"The success or failure of power battery determines the success or failure of new energy vehicles"
"The success or failure of the power battery determines the success or failure of the new energy vehicle." Wang Binggang, member of the Academic Committee of the China Electric Vehicle 100-member Association and the national new energy vehicle technology innovation engineering expert group, believes that the power battery industry is developing rapidly in the Chinese market, but the technology Not in the international leading position, the investment is too scattered, there are still a large number of low-level small-scale battery factories. As for the quality control method of battery cell products, there are still backward methods using screening, and the rate of unqualified products selected is as high as 10% or more. There is a huge gap between companies such as Samsung and Panasonic.
The huge market potential of electric vehicles has become a consensus. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has also clearly planned that by 2020, the annual output of new energy vehicles will reach 2 million, the specific energy of power battery systems will reach 260 watt-hours/kg, and the cost will be reduced to 1 yuan/watt hour.
"(China) new energy auto backbone enterprises have further enhanced their global influence and market share, and intelligent networked cars have entered the world's advanced ranks," said Miao Wei, secretary of the Party Committee of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, in order to build up a sleeve to build a safe and controllable car. The parts system has entered the ranks of automobile powers.
"This is a game that can't stop," Cui Dongshu told reporters. At present, the battery industry of electric vehicles has entered a stage of rapid and benign development. Although there is a gap in technology with international power battery manufacturers, in the case of declining market demand. More need to increase the amount of investment to seize market share, otherwise it will die even worse.
The reporter learned that in the first quarter of the car battery supply, the Ningde era (CATL) with 328,000 kWh of car battery supply surpassed BYD ranked first, an increase of 12.5%. Different from BYD's closed production chain, Ningde Times is a supplier of power batteries for many car companies such as BMW Brilliance, Geely, Beiqi, Guangzhou Automobile, etc. Recently, it will cooperate with SAIC to develop its power battery business and plans to establish two new joint ventures. .
Last week, BYD, who just missed the new energy vehicle sales champion, said that the power battery will supply all the car manufacturers. It can be said that BYD, which started as a battery, has quietly opened the closed loop to fight back.
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