[NetEase smart news November 15 news] In 2017, the public's attitude toward artificial intelligence technology seems to be hovering between fear unknown and cautious optimism. However, more and more people believe that artificial intelligence will have a crucial role in human development. These believing people are neither outsiders nor unique people - in fact, they are engaged in cutting-edge research work in companies such as Google.
Google Artificial Intelligence and Futurist expert Ray Kurzweil delivered a speech at the “Intimate Q&A Session†of the Committee on Foreign Relations held last week. From the public’s point of view, Ray Kurzweil’s views on the future of humankind may be radical because in the public’s awareness, headlines Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking’s warning about World War III have left a deep impression on them. .
He immediately pointed out that the current era is the best time for mankind. What he meant is that most people do not know that hunger and poverty are already at their lowest level ever. “The world’s 3 billion people have smart phones. I thought it was 2 billion at first, but it turned out to be 3 billion.†In a few years, this number will become 6 billion. He said.
The deadliest war in human history ended World War II 72 years ago. Since then, humans have fallen into countless small-scale conflicts, police operations, and even real wars. However, the United States remains trapped in the longest-running war in its history and cannot see the end. At present, mankind is enjoying an unprecedented period of peace in the history of human civilization.
But there are also fears that artificial intelligence will affect the process to some extent and involve humanity in another "destructive" level event. If the technology of the atomic bomb makes World War II the deadliest destruction in history, is the destructiveness of the Third World War even greater?
According to Kurzweil, the facts are much more complicated than this. He believes that we have been able to coexist in harmony for so long (in the macro historical context) partly because democracy has begun to take root on a global scale. At the same time, he also believes that the advancement of communication technology has directly contributed to the rise of democracy. According to him:
A century ago, there were only a handful of democracies; two centuries ago, the number of democracies was even smaller. At present, the entire world seems to have become more peaceful. But this is not the case, because our judgment on the problems that exist in the world is becoming clearer.
What will happen next? He believes that the biological characteristics we possess will gradually decrease because human beings are constantly evolving, and the next stage of our evolution will be the internal application of technology. The result of man-machine mixing is not a metal monster. It will only become a chip in your brain, not your iPhone.
In the future, instead of asking Google “Hey, what's the weather like today?†and then waiting for the answer from the flashing box, it's better to be more shocked: the weather emerges in your mind, and then you can get the answer directly.
Kursweil believes that by 2029, "medical robots can enter our brains and connect our new cerebral cortex to smart clouds."
Even for science and technology reporters who often report on artificial intelligence, this idea is also very shocking. It's hard to imagine that before Justin Bieber was 35 years old, people could connect their brains to the cloud.
However, do not rashly deny Ray Kurzweil's point: He is rarely making mistakes. He has already made predictions in hundreds of science and technology fields. Quite logically, this should be what futurists do, but he has made 90% of the predictions are correct.
According to Kurzweil, the future is incredible, but it is worth mentioning that he thinks the current era is also quite remarkable. He reminded us, "A few years ago, we also had communication devices like smartphones, but they didn't run smoothly," he said rightly.
Today's smart phones can easily handle complex voice commands, such as "find all the photos I took when I was in San Francisco," "play Star Trek: The Next Generation, Episode 3, Episode 16" and so on. Today's mobile phones can recognize the speaker, and even when playing music, they can recognize your voice and perform commands with little effort.
And just a few years ago, most of us usually quickly gave up using voice control because we were tired of repeating instructions endlessly. We believe that we will certainly wait until the day of technological improvement. Now it is really much better.
According to experts such as Ray Kurzweil, artificial intelligence has now effectively affected all areas of our lives. As individuals, we may not be able to notice these changes immediately, but our dependence on machine learning has increased exponentially.
What has prompted the progress of the artificial intelligence revolution is accelerated law of return, as well as predictions made by Ray Kurzweil. For the definition of the limit of machine learning ability, I am afraid we will need to reassess at any time. (Source: The Next Web Compilation: Netease's Translation Robot Reviewer: Yu Yu)
Pay attention to NetEase smart public number (smartman163), obtain the latest report of artificial intelligence industry.
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