TSMC has recently revised its forecast regarding the impact of the strong earthquake that struck southern Taiwan on February 6. The company now estimates that the overall recovery time will be longer than previously anticipated, with some wafer shipments expected to be pushed into the second quarter. In its first-quarter 2016 outlook statement, TSMC confirmed that wafer deliveries would still face delays. Specifically, shipments for Fab 14A (14A) are delayed by 10 to 50 days, and the delivery of 100,000 12-inch wafers will be postponed from Q1 to Q2. Similarly, 20,000 8-inch wafers from Fab 6 will also be moved to the second quarter. However, the impact on Fab 14B (14B) was minimal.
The earthquake primarily affected TSMC’s facilities in the Tainan Science Park, including Fab 14 and Fab 6. Initially, the company had estimated that less than 1% of first-quarter capacity was impacted, with most operations expected to resume within 2–3 days. Despite this, the prolonged disruption has caused extended shipping times for certain products. TSMC emphasized its commitment to working closely with customers to recover all affected wafers as quickly as possible. Fortunately, other TSMC facilities in Hsinchu and Taichung Science Parks remain unaffected.
In addition to the production impact, TSMC updated its sales forecast for the first quarter. Despite the delays, the company expects revenue to rise. TSMC projected revenue between NT$201 billion and NT$203 billion, surpassing the earlier estimate of NT$198 billion to NT$201 billion. The company believes that the negative effects of the earthquake will be offset by increased business volume and a stronger US dollar.
UMC also reported that production in the Southern Science Park is expected to resume within a few days following the earthquake. However, the company has not yet provided an updated assessment of the full impact on its capacity.
The earthquake, measuring 6.4 on the Richter scale, occurred near Mino in Kaohsiung, about 48 km (30 miles) southeast of Tainan. Taiwan plays a crucial role in global semiconductor manufacturing, accounting for roughly one-third of the world's output. This event echoes the 1999 earthquake, which caused widespread power outages and disrupted wafer production for nearly a week.
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